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Buehler

Aug 14, 2026

Abstract

Roger Buehler — planning fallacy and optimistic task-duration predictions. Start from Desired time vs real time when both clocks must sit in the same row as reward.

By this author

  • Exploring the “planning fallacy”: Why people underestimate their task completion times (1994) — Classic own-vs-other completion-time bias.
  • It’s about time: Optimistic predictions in work and love (1995) — Planning fallacy across work and personal timelines.

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